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About JAzumah

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  1. Here is the reality of the situation: 1) Pipelining everyone onto 5 Avenue/Madison Avenue was stupid. Restoring East Side options is a natural fix for people that work there. 2) Off-peak services must be "corridorized" as much as possible. That means that South Shore bus service needs to run via Richmond Avenue OR Hylan Boulevard. The SIM4c can run with a split branch on the south end. You can also treat Gannon Avenue as a corridor, splitting one branch via Watchogue Road and one via Victory Boulevard. 3) The Brooklyn-Battery Tunnel's single lane inbound in the afternoon kills the MTA's ability to reliably double up trips on afternoon buses. They will have to take the Manhattan Bridge lower level or reduce service by 30%.
  2. They have never had to cater to its rider base as a whole because their survival never depended on it. The central planning mindset that seeks to kill off dollar vans and constrain Uber/Lyft/Juno/Via doesn't bother to internalize why people spend more to avoid the MTA or mix & match between the MTA and private options. The only thing that will change this is a bankruptcy scare and the MTA bond downgrade is the start of that avalanche.
  3. JAzumah

    Sim23/24 coming to MTA?

    The number of buses you need is an "artificial number" based on loading guidelines. In my opinion, the MTA needs to fill the buses up and reduce the express bus fare. It is too high for lots of normal middle-class people. The loading guideline needs to be 50 passengers per bus or every 30 minutes (excluding the first and last buses of the day) with a fare reduction to $6.00. Then, you would have plenty of buses to operate the 23 and 24.
  4. JAzumah

    Sim23/24 coming to MTA?

    The MTA is prepared to operate the SIM23 and SIM24, but the state refuses to give them some of the money that it is paying Academy to do it. So, as long as that money exists, Academy will be doing the runs. My understanding is that the current contract is month-to-month. A logical transition time would be just after a fare increase. They would be able to budget for the new service at that time and claim it as an improvement.
  5. JAzumah

    Metro Apple Express revivial

    I do have plans for Metro Apple Express in the near future. Something about a Coney Island Avenue express bus...
  6. JAzumah

    SI Express Bus Plan Out!

    I expect the X22A to continue as normal.
  7. JAzumah

    SI Express Bus Plan Out!

    Real people use public transportation and it is important that planners not try to engineer the behavior of their customers too much. Most express bus customers spend more than 12 hours a day going to/from work as well as being at work. There is more to life than working or going to/from work. There is shopping to be done, kids to be picked up from babysitters and after-school centers and the like. These tasks cannot all be done in a timely manner via SI's bus system. So, you park the car at a park & ride and then you complete your errands once you get to your car. This is how many people live and I am not sure they should be judged for this. These folks will be thrilled by the new park & ride focused services.
  8. JAzumah

    SI Express Bus Plan Out!

    The only time Staten Islanders are not going to drive is when there is a blizzard, hurricane, or nuclear war. A few will still try to drive in the third scenario. Let people travel how they want to as long as they bear the cost of doing so. It is not the MTA's business to tell people how to travel. It is their business to service the demand. There is a very good business case for running a steady diet of guaranteed seating Park & Ride buses every 15-30 minutes. The service will be very reliable and they can fill every single seat on those buses. You run it through the checkpoint to balance loads and take standees (if any) from other routes. This can also work in reverse if someone misses their normal bus. In addition, routes run better when a supervisor has to check the bus in. The SIM2c would run Downtown & Midtown. The action is not in Downtown outside of rush hours. The Midtown/Downtown buses pick up a lot of passengers from Midtown and the SoHo areas because of social activities. There are currently 55 morning runs on the x2, x3 and x9 which start out at New Dorp (Tysens Lane). Despite what the MTA may believe running all Hylan express buses from the ETC will result in filled-up buses by the time they reach Guyon Avenue. But as you say let's see what the real schedules look like. The MTA is going to operate short turns, but they will no longer receive their own designation. I am not even sure New Dorp might be used as a break point. They may use two or three new break points for utilization purposes.
  9. JAzumah

    SI Express Bus Plan Out!

    The activity center off-peak is in Midtown. It will do fine on weekdays, but terribly on the weekends.
  10. JAzumah

    SI Express Bus Plan Out!

    I believe that this plan overall is a very solid plan. The MTA is finally designing routes that are shorter and faster. They need to aim at keeping the running time of all routes below 90 minutes. The park & ride super expresses are a no-brainer. It lowers operating costs and provides better service to those facilities. Get used to fewer, faster, more reliable buses everywhere. That is how express buses are supposed to work. I believe the SIM2 is not strong enough to operate on its own outside of rush hour. It should be integrated with the SIM4c. The SIM26 needs to stop at the Arden Heights checkpoint and retain its Super Express variant.
  11. I found that to be odd as well, but I once had a commute from Brooklyn to New Rochelle on public transit. It was worth it for me, but it was for a short period of time. ​There is a rumor going around that the N19 and N78/79 have already been taken off the table. That is very good for the network as a whole. I have run the numbers on most of the other routes and it is very difficult to justify.
  12. http://www.newsday.com/long-island/transportation/looming-nice-bus-cuts-will-hurt-real-people-nassau-lawmaker-says-1.13328487
  13. I don't think anyone expects a rescue this time.
  14. The ideas I am looking at are as follows: N19: Hourly service Freeport - Sunrise Mall ​N74: Hourly service Babylon - Farmingdale, limited stop service Farmingdale - Hempstead ​N79: Hourly service S Huntington - Hicksville, super express Hicksville - Roosevelt Field (for additional connections). ​I would need the Rockville Centre Depot to do more. I am hesitant to do anything without that garage. I could take the Orions about to be retired and keep them in service until new buses arrive. I would like to pick up some of the personnel that are being laid off, but I do not know if enough people with CNG experience would be left over.
  15. The question is whether Nassau riders are willing to pay the double fare for a non-NICE service plus a NICE service. The onboard survey done in December 2013 show that the majority of these routes are dependent on connections.


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